Accomplished-Burnout
0x5563ab111b57cc699de32c7133dd43a697d65f8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49.5 and 50.0 million views on day 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
417 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- NO
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
170 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
115 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-14?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-14?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ITALY
T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- CANADA
T20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1)
17 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-02-14?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Philadelphia" or "Baltimore" this week? (February 15)
16 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$3.10Feb 14, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1)$2.00Feb 14, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)$2.00Feb 14, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)$1.00Feb 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-14?$1.00Feb 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Konyaspor win on 2026-02-14?$1.00Feb 14, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$1.00Feb 14, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$1.00Feb 14, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-02-14?$1.00Feb 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-14?$1.00Feb 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$14.09Feb 14, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.36Feb 13, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$1.37Feb 13, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$1.41Feb 13, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Philadelphia" or "Baltimore" this week? (February 15)$4.00Feb 13, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$4.00Feb 13, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$3.00Feb 13, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$3.00Feb 13, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$15.23Feb 13, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 49.5 and 50.0 million views on day 6?$1.00Feb 13, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 15:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.