0x5565b063fe7daeae22760827fefe30c460281c90
0x5565b063fe7daeae22760827fefe30c460281c90
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$37.48
Total PnL
$-2.05
Realised
$2.64
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?
18 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$18.00
$10.80
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
11 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$11.00
$0.31
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$5.00
$0.14
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
45 shares @ 18.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$-6.12
- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.50
$0.03
- YES
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
1230 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.61
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
3 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Feb 4, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$0.00Feb 4, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?$0.00Feb 4, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Feb 4, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Feb 4, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$0.00Feb 4, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?$0.00Feb 4, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Feb 4, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Feb 4, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Warriors$6.00Feb 4, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMOver $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?$7.00Feb 4, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMOver $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?$7.00Feb 4, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$0.00Feb 4, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$0.00Feb 4, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?$0.00Feb 4, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Feb 4, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$0.00Feb 4, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?$0.00Feb 4, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 4, 16:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $4.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 21:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.