Attentive-Brink
0x5568fef9d5c02419e50e78f762e02a2356539ea3
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$230.57
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-4.49
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$39.90
$9.90
- YES
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
41 shares @ 72.4¢·now 68.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$28.17
$-1.52
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
44 shares @ 67.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.18
$-3.30
- YES
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
60 shares @ 47.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Oct 30, 2026$24.30
$-3.90
- NO
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?
55 shares @ 43.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$20.63
$-3.02
- NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
57 shares @ 52.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$17.38
$-12.26
- NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?
45 shares @ 31.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$17.32
$3.38
- YES
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?
48 shares @ 62.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$12.48
$-17.28
- YES
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
45 shares @ 34.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Sep 23, 2026$12.38
$-2.92
- YES
Will Adam Murphy be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?
41 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$11.68
$1.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?$11.97Aug 2, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?$29.68Aug 2, 11:41 UTC
- MERGENo change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?$50.00Aug 2, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?$22.62Aug 2, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?$28.00Aug 2, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?$29.76Aug 2, 07:51 UTC
- MERGEWill Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?$5.00Aug 2, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?$2.65Aug 2, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?$2.40Aug 2, 03:53 UTC
- MERGEWill T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?$21.00Aug 2, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?$9.03Aug 2, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?$12.24Aug 2, 02:56 UTC
- MERGEWill "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?$46.00Aug 2, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?$31.94Aug 2, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?$15.18Aug 2, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?$15.30Aug 2, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?$29.91Aug 2, 01:07 UTC
- MERGEWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$10.00Aug 2, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$6.39Aug 2, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$3.77Aug 2, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $16.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.