Reckless-Match
0x556a98e25b44409018586d53fe9c2ba170b775fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-396.45
Realised
$-81.46
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 3?
233 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?
210 shares @ 98.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-206.79
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 24?
138 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-38.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 23?
126 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 21?
103 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 30?
99 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 29?
67 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-19.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 23?
63 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 Week of April 13 2026?
59 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?
52 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 22?$238.57Jul 22, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 22?$236.90Jul 22, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 8?$1.57Jul 7, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 3?$1.74Jul 2, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 24?$225.52May 24, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 24?$0.52May 24, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 24?$223.20May 24, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$206.79May 17, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on April 12?$166.92May 17, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$2.54May 9, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?$190.67May 9, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?$188.95Apr 27, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russell 2000 (RUT) hit 2350 (LOW) in March?$179.76Apr 27, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 19?$1.83Apr 19, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 16?$0.00Apr 19, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 Week of April 13 2026?$2.04Apr 17, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 16?$2.06Apr 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on April 12?$164.75Apr 12, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 31?$237.77Apr 12, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 31?$235.63Apr 1, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $101.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.