Inexperienced-Nudge
0x55792443e0585286a74df9cf8a6ad90f354d2db1
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$248.71
Total PnL
$-115.92
Realised
$-6.56
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?
78 shares @ 53.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$31.42
$-9.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 22?
38 shares @ 81.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$27.48
$-3.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 21?
38 shares @ 60.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$20.19
$-2.88
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?
30 shares @ 71.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$19.95
$-1.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 22?
22 shares @ 73.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$15.52
$-0.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 21?
26 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$14.97
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 21?
41 shares @ 37.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$14.56
$-0.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?
44 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$12.56
$-0.22
- NO
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
50 shares @ 24.7¢·now 24.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$12.05
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 21?
39 shares @ 35.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.64
$-5.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 21?$3.12Jun 20, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?$0.59Jun 20, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 21?$4.94Jun 20, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 21?$10.24Jun 20, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 21?$3.60Jun 20, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 22?$16.32Jun 20, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 22?$16.99Jun 20, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 22?$12.93Jun 20, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 22?$13.16Jun 20, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?$2.30Jun 20, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 22?$31.16Jun 20, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?$2.10Jun 20, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?$2.49Jun 20, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?$38.21Jun 20, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?$41.43Jun 20, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 22?$18.50Jun 20, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?$5.61Jun 20, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 22?$11.25Jun 20, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 21?$1.99Jun 20, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?$0.84Jun 20, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 05:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.