Pushy-Hexagon
0x557aca156c39e007146e3b3372c4fd6150ea3d56
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-17.6K
Realised
$8.7K
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Iran leadership change by July 31?
11801 shares @ 1.8¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$625.44
$405.95
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
4953 shares @ 16.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$421.01
$-403.99
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
9099 shares @ 11.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$409.45
$-670.54
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
5810 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$377.66
$-147.33
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
7172 shares @ 2.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$253.89
$58.91
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
41151 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$226.33
$-228.63
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
2393 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$77.76
$-23.23
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
39659 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-502.44
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
27312 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
26261 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-796.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$9.99Jul 21, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$80.00Jul 21, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$300.00Jul 21, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$100.00Jul 21, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$1.00Jul 20, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$225.00Jul 19, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$300.00Jul 19, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$200.00Jul 19, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$100.00Jul 19, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$400.00Jul 18, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$150.00Jul 16, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$75.00Jul 16, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$50.00Jul 16, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$50.00Jul 16, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$100.00Jul 16, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$424.00Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$804.34Jul 14, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$1.3KJul 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$400.00Jul 12, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$1000.00Jul 12, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $388.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 16:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.