Primary-Item
0x557e7b25f023c972ad509024ed189b61d19c3c74
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.8K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5186 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.2K
$83.29
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7557 shares @ 38.8¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$130.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.93
$-0.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$5.1K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $2.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.