Prickly-Barrel
0x558f2f82cf0394c28ce3c8e117ee747aeab51a56
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$56.5K
Total PnL
$-16.5K
Realised
$10.1K
Win rate
87%
92 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
51551 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$41.2K
$15.4K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
51551 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.3K
$-15.4K
- CINCINNATI REDS
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
4380 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.3K
$-21.90
- UNDER
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5
300 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$298.80
$1.80
- UNDER
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5
300 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$298.65
$1.65
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)
300 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$298.50
$1.50
- UNDER
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 14.5
300 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$298.50
$1.50
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)
97 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$97.44
$0.93
- NO
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's US Open?
75 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$74.65
$0.22
- NO
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?
75 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$74.62
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 14.5$236.61Jul 28, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5$248.45Jul 28, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 14.5$55.44Jul 28, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5$48.55Jul 28, 23:11 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 29?$25.00Jul 28, 23:08 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?$25.04Jul 28, 23:08 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 29?$25.03Jul 28, 23:08 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 29?$0.00Jul 28, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$350.00Jul 28, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)$2.4KJul 28, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 29?$21.50Jul 28, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 29?$23.84Jul 28, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?$16.32Jul 28, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29?$13.34Jul 28, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$650.00Jul 28, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$346.50Jul 28, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$297.15Jul 28, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$346.50Jul 28, 22:48 UTC
- MERGEWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 30?$25.00Jul 28, 22:23 UTC
- MERGEWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 30?$25.00Jul 28, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$37.5K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 24, 00:30 UTC → May 31, 16:02 UTC
- BUYSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$10.8K@48¢May 31, 16:02 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
67/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
87% win rate over 92 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
92 closed markets, 87% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens
$14.5K · 39% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $130.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 23:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 92 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.