Sweet-Regulator
0x559215ccb6614c3247a664b04609a82ef920737c
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$1.05
Total PnL
$-251.55
Realised
$-4.85
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.08
$-1.78
- YES
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
1082 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
826 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-48.45
- YES
Base airdrop in Q3 2025?
567 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?
500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
423 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.24
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down on December 1?
253 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.43Jul 25, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.31Jul 25, 06:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jul 9, 02:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.54Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.77Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance AND Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 0.5$17.60Jul 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance AND England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance AND Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$2.00Jul 1, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance AND Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 0.5$6.73Jul 1, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.50Jul 1, 03:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.18Jun 26, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.04Jun 26, 09:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.05Jun 25, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $3.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.