0x5597b90208744abb35a63ebafc0f3263cc620c9f
0x5597b90208744abb35a63ebafc0f3263cc620c9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$102.92
Total PnL
$-274.46
Realised
$2.09
Win rate
34%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 21?
41 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$40.87
$0.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?
26 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$26.07
$1.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 21?
22 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$21.92
$0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?
65 shares @ 8.9¢·now 10.7¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$6.88
$1.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?
14 shares @ 18.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.46
$1.95
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 21?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$1.64
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 23?
12 shares @ 10.3¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.05
$-0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?
41 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.02
$-12.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 22?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?
79 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?$2.61Jul 23, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 23?$1.22Jul 23, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?$0.21Jul 23, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?$6.00Jul 23, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23?$0.51Jul 23, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?$1.70Jul 23, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?$0.15Jul 23, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 23?$2.47Jul 23, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?$7.75Jul 23, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?$3.64Jul 23, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 23, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?$0.31Jul 23, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23?$2.02Jul 23, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?$1.45Jul 23, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?$0.51Jul 23, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?$1.37Jul 23, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?$1.90Jul 23, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?$1.79Jul 22, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 22?$1.02Jul 22, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
34% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.