0x55a1755f7cadea046f58ebd4d0d41521d3639379
0x55a1755f7cadea046f58ebd4d0d41521d3639379
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.88
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-90.08
Win rate
0%
183 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
31 shares @ 22.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.88
$-2.94
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?
62387 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-62.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?
331 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-63.49
- EDWARD GAMING
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
302 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-26.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
285 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 27?
233 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-34.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
164 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
- JD GAMING
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
160 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-38.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 7?
144 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-31.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$11.26Aug 17, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$9.57Aug 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$13.00Aug 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$9.54Aug 13, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$13.37Aug 13, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$9.56Aug 13, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$12.47Aug 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$9.75Aug 13, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$12.16Aug 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$9.51Aug 13, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$10.00Aug 13, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$9.44Aug 13, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$11.12Aug 13, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$9.98Aug 13, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$14.36Aug 13, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$9.84Aug 13, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$9.76Aug 12, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$11.06Aug 12, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$9.97Aug 12, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$14.15Aug 11, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 183 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
183 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $9.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 07:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 183 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.