0x55ae5f895149c0e28e4fdd2f46a9e7f060459f47
0x55ae5f895149c0e28e4fdd2f46a9e7f060459f47
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 20?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
12 shares @ 82.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$10.00Jan 29, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026?$0.09Jan 29, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026?$1.00Jan 22, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 20?$5.00Jan 20, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?$0.00Jan 20, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,500 January 12-18?$2.33Jan 20, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 16, 12AM ET$0.00Jan 18, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$0.00Jan 18, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11PM ET$9.80Jan 18, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11PM ET$5.00Jan 15, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 16, 12AM ET$2.00Jan 15, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,500 January 12-18?$2.00Jan 15, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?$2.00Jan 15, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$2.00Jan 15, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.