0x55bb16e76c40d9c537f730d5a9352ff4cd933e48
0x55bb16e76c40d9c537f730d5a9352ff4cd933e48
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-225.70
Realised
$-5.73
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 10PM ET
750 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 6, 10PM ET
750 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on March 5?
381 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 7?
381 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on March 6?
328 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 5?
224 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 5?
186 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on March 8?
181 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on March 8?
181 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on March 8?
181 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8AM ET$5.00Mar 26, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 13, 10PM ET$5.00Mar 16, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Mar 16, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 14, 1PM ET$0.00Mar 14, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 14, 1PM ET$0.15Mar 14, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.16Mar 14, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 14, 11AM ET$0.10Mar 14, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 14, 11AM ET$0.05Mar 14, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.05Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 11AM ET$0.00Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.10Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 11AM ET$0.15Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.16Mar 14, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.16Mar 14, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.15Mar 14, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.16Mar 14, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.15Mar 14, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.15Mar 14, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.50Mar 14, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.43Mar 14, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 11:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.