Buoyant-Expectation
0x55bd5fc5dccdfe286cde7bd1d9240cdd571ba34d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.54
Total PnL
$-59.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.39
$-1.61
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14 shares @ 28.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.15
$-1.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
53 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
45 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$25.79Jun 15, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$4.01Jun 15, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$8.10Jun 15, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$5.18Jun 15, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.14Jun 15, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$15.76Jun 15, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$5.07Jun 15, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.15Jun 15, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$5.16Jun 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.01Jun 15, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$5.35Jun 15, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$20.41Jun 15, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$20.01Jun 15, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$1.01May 2, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$1.45Apr 10, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$22.22Apr 10, 22:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 7, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 5, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 4, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $6.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.