These-Granola
0x55c23185f3deb30b9747b795e822c3cfae3e5ddf
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$27.66
Total PnL
$-3.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.77
$6.35
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$9.21
$2.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2025$5.79
$2.78
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.90
$-1.89
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
19 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.49
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.55
- NO
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$2.71Jul 31, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.89Jul 30, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.79Jul 30, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$4.55Jul 15, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.63Jul 15, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.89Jul 15, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 7?$3.01Jul 7, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$3.42Jul 7, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17?$0.00Jun 28, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$3.46Jun 28, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17?$3.29Jun 15, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.35Jun 14, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$46.25Jun 8, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$10.51May 14, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$14.93May 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$1.97May 7, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$3.03May 2, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$14.13Feb 6, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$14.06Jan 30, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$26.75Jan 21, 17:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.