Regal-Draw
0x55c41d0fb23ef6485473f0c9588fa7a75f30e2c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.15
Total PnL
$-40.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.10Jul 14, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.07Jul 14, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.23Jul 14, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.72Jul 14, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.61Jul 14, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.07Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.66Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.22Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 11?$1.06Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$2.39Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 11?$1.06May 10, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$2.16May 10, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.34May 10, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on April 12?$1.23May 10, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.45May 10, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.94May 10, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on April 12?$1.23Apr 11, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.40Apr 11, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.10Apr 11, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.24Apr 11, 01:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.