Squiggly-Township
0x55c5f50c1680664c693c366c90ad4807528c1710
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.0K
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
7%
75 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
444070 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-443.65
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
365640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-499.83
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
290668 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
211590 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-423.01
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
191780 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-406.96
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
127061 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
123432 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-419.92
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
100000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-499.93
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
35713 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-125.49
- NO
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
24996 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$11.78Aug 18, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$15.70Aug 18, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$23.10Aug 10, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher?$15.20Aug 6, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?$43.15Aug 6, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?$5.31Aug 6, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?$1.26Aug 6, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?$4.39Aug 6, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?$0.21Aug 6, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?$51.33Aug 6, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?$3.69Aug 6, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?$3.57Aug 6, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?$102.66Aug 6, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?$9.44Aug 6, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?$1.34Aug 6, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?$0.59Aug 6, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher?$1.50Aug 6, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher?$1.53Aug 6, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$2.21Aug 1, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$0.01Aug 1, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 75 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
75 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 08:29 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 15:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 75 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.