Starchy-Script
0x55d39e6e0522b5b21b6df4def656d1faa32e866c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-773.96
Realised
$-6.68
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
10150 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-34.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 5?
1279 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
242 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-28.74
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 7?
60 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.55
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 February 2-8?
58 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- SUNRISERS HYDERABAD
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants
55 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.74
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
54 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
49 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
30 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
28 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-17.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 18?$0.24Jul 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 18?$0.06Jul 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$6.09Jul 13, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$5.78Jul 13, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.47Jul 13, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.23Jul 13, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$6.16Jul 13, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$9.49Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$2.97Jul 13, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.90Jul 13, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.51Jul 13, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5.72Jul 13, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$6.41Jul 12, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$5.69Jul 12, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$3.84Jul 12, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$5.62Jul 12, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.51Jul 12, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.07Jul 12, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$6.63Jul 12, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$17.38Jul 12, 23:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 04:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.