Incredible-Waffle
0x55d3ac7d31c4585804737a542464e45b7ae1d864
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$21.66
Total PnL
$-7.04
Realised
$-3.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?
4 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.29
$0.09
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
4 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.76
$0.12
- NO
Trump out as President in 2025?
4 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.59
$0.15
- NO
Russia coup attempt in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.71
$0.11
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Cardano ETF in 2025?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.04
$1.04
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
2 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.04
$0.07
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.17
$0.04
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
16 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO in 2025?$6.00Nov 3, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $350 in October?$2.01Nov 3, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5600 in October?$3.07Nov 3, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on October 26?$3.51Nov 3, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$3.55Nov 3, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$10.13Nov 3, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$15.19Nov 3, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$4.00Oct 25, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$7.00Oct 25, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$3.50Oct 25, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on October 26?$3.50Oct 25, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Key (KEY) beat quarterly earnings?$2.40Oct 25, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$3.44Oct 19, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in October?$2.00Oct 19, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.30Oct 19, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO in 2025?$6.00Oct 19, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$49.85Oct 19, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$60.00Oct 19, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $6000 in October?$87.06Oct 19, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6000 in October?$87.33Oct 19, 11:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $48.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 3, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".