Dear-Capability
0x55df3afb95e9e875224df30408fc4a37bfa1c8fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$36.77
Total PnL
$-3.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.03
$0.03
- NO
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
8 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$8.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Everton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on March 8?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$4.02
$0.02
- THUNDER
Warriors vs. Thunder
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$3.45
$0.45
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
3 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$3.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- PISTONS
Nets vs. Pistons
2 shares @ 88.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Everton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$5.00Mar 8, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$8.00Mar 8, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?$13.00Mar 8, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Timberwolves$1.7KMar 8, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Timberwolves$541.00Mar 7, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Thunder$3.00Mar 7, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Pistons$2.00Mar 7, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?$11.96Mar 7, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?$12.00Mar 6, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $110 on March 8?$4.00Mar 6, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$3.00Mar 6, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMPatriots vs. Broncos$2.94Mar 6, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$3.95Mar 6, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$3.00Jan 23, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPatriots vs. Broncos$2.00Jan 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$2.30Jan 23, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $46.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 04:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.