Close-Engine
0x55e0ef8c68bc99e9b8441e6f7f8f46a3eb321c6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
129
Open notional
$4.68
Total PnL
$-178.93
Realised
$2.97
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2 shares @ 44.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
New pandemic before July?
67 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?
58 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.70
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- FAZE
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
43 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$3.13Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 19, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.03Jul 19, 01:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Team to Win$9.09Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$1.03Jul 18, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$3.10Jul 18, 18:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$6.35Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$4.32Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$2.07Jul 15, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.20Jul 15, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.05Jul 15, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1.39Jul 7, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$2.94Jul 7, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$1.02Jul 6, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1.01Jul 6, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$1.02Jul 6, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.