Uncomfortable-Noun
0x55e10f34ae982b6fd3235d8d4ee44dfa4317772f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$76.55
Total PnL
$-763.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?
48 shares @ 78.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$48.36
$10.36
- NO
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?
28 shares @ 62.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$28.18
$10.66
- NO
Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?
1819 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-102.67
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
200 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on February 3?
160 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- UP
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 2?
145 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Google say "Wiz" during earnings call?
100 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-57.20
- UP
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 10?
92 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.53
- DOWN
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 4?
60 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 18?$11.68Feb 18, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 18?$0.32Feb 18, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 18?$0.28Feb 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on February 18?$11.44Feb 18, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on February 18?$0.33Feb 18, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 18?$9.60Feb 18, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 18?$11.50Feb 18, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on February 18?$0.33Feb 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on February 18?$0.33Feb 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?$20.00Feb 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?$20.00Feb 15, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?$8.00Feb 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?$13.00Feb 15, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?$10.32Feb 15, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?$0.18Feb 15, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?$1.17Feb 15, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?$30.00Feb 15, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?$45.55Feb 15, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?$147.19Feb 15, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on February 13?$29.40Feb 13, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.