Bold-Hourglass
0x55f0be46a3f37010e167390b0a27b6ff324569dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$6.38
Total PnL
$0.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.73
$0.01
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.17
$0.01
- YES
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.48
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.30Apr 13, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.16Apr 13, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$2.73Apr 13, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of January?$1.13Apr 13, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.43Apr 13, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in January?$2.87Apr 13, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.41Jan 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in January?$2.86Jan 15, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of January?$1.12Jan 15, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.03Jan 15, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.06Jan 15, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.06Jan 15, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.20Jan 15, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.04Dec 16, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.02Dec 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.10Dec 16, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?$1.04Dec 16, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.11Dec 16, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.23Dec 16, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.32Dec 16, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $250.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.