0x55f0ef535c17bf453f1780ca6699ca4bb39aad23
0x55f0ef535c17bf453f1780ca6699ca4bb39aad23
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$72.79
Total PnL
$5.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
73 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$72.79
$9.44
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
6 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31?
3 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2023$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?
1 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.00
- YES
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by Sep 30?
1 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2023$0.00
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$13.71Apr 10, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$49.64Apr 10, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$84.50Apr 1, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$84.25Mar 14, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?$0.00Feb 3, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$2.12Dec 26, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$1.75Dec 20, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$83.00Nov 28, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$82.75Nov 27, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.22Nov 8, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.64Oct 28, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?$15.00Oct 14, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?$0.00Oct 7, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$3.37Oct 3, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.59Oct 3, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?$10.05Nov 14, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet again by Aug 31?$0.12Aug 28, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet again by Aug 31?$0.21Aug 27, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet again by Aug 31?$0.21Aug 27, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs the Room-Temp Superconductor real?$0.04Aug 12, 04:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $17.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 22:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 21:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.