Fluffy-Bathtub
0x55f803dd2beb779b6736c3320551dab4c1932544
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$95.44
Total PnL
$-342.43
Realised
$-6.13
Win rate
0%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
2857 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$64.29
$4.29
- YES
Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?
40 shares @ 49.5¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 20, 2026$11.93
$-8.07
- YES
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
607 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$11.84
$-0.91
- YES
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?
205 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$4.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$2.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
172 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Neftçi PFK win on 2026-07-22?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Australia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-08-06?
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-20?$20.41Aug 20, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rangers FC win on 2026-08-20?$11.49Aug 20, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-20?$93.13Aug 20, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?$22.73Aug 20, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rangers FC win on 2026-08-20?$10.06Aug 20, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-20?$30.05Aug 20, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-20?$30.05Aug 20, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-20?$30.06Aug 20, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-20?$20.02Aug 20, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?$20.12Aug 20, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-20?$21.74Aug 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.85Aug 20, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-20?$20.08Aug 20, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$15.12Aug 20, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.09Aug 19, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?$4.12Aug 19, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$31.47Aug 16, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$62.94Aug 16, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?$17.47Aug 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?$30.27Aug 12, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $19.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 23:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 23:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.