Bubbly-Avocado
0x55fbe31a18076ed7039d3ae795c0298a653f5e09
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.66
Realised
$-0.55
Win rate
4%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$5.00Aug 18, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$5.00Aug 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$3.25Aug 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$3.20Aug 18, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$2.94Aug 18, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.02Aug 5, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.02Aug 5, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Aug 5, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.15Aug 5, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.01Aug 5, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.04Aug 4, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.01Aug 4, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.04Aug 4, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.05Aug 4, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.01Aug 4, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.03Aug 4, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.23Aug 4, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.02Aug 4, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.20Aug 4, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.01Aug 4, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 05:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.