Satisfied-Manner-Seabass
0x55fd4cacecd6c6645325fa4663198667a411b51a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-206.4K
Realised
$-5.9K
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
36162 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-14.4K
- JASMINE PAOLINI
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini
21388 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
16720 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
13676 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
12895 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
12580 shares @ 65.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.3K
- NO
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
12080 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.2K
- MIAMI MARLINS
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies
11266 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- DANIIL GLINKA
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter
11141 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
9193 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$146.34Aug 12, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$10.19Aug 12, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$101.72Aug 12, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$103.61Aug 12, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.04Aug 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.13Aug 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.09Aug 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.10Aug 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.10Aug 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.10Aug 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.06Aug 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.09Aug 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.10Aug 12, 06:08 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$98.92Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.00Aug 11, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.28Aug 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.28Aug 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.29Aug 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.29Aug 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.29Aug 11, 20:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $226.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 20:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 06:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.