Satisfied-Manner-Seabass
0x55fd4cacecd6c6645325fa4663198667a411b51a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.1K
Total PnL
$-35.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
17631 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$10.1K
$-88.14
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
36162 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-14.4K
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
12895 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
12580 shares @ 65.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.3K
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
7143 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?
5602 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- PORTLANDFIRE
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics
4738 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
3416 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$5.2KJun 29, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$5.2KJun 29, 01:25 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.09Jun 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries$2.1KJun 29, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries$5.1KJun 28, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics$2.5KJun 28, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?$1.5KJun 28, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMBad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka$12.2KJun 27, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka$15.27Jun 27, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka$5.0KJun 27, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$5.0KJun 27, 02:55 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.91Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?$2.0KJun 27, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?$0.00Jun 26, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?$11.5KJun 26, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$2.4KJun 25, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$12.2KJun 25, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$3.5KJun 25, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$4.8KJun 25, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.00Jun 25, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 03:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 02:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.