Weary-Area
0x56021e26451713deec1c3e47eaba3ee6d247cf58
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.82
Total PnL
$-15.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.82
$0.82
- NO
Fed rate cut by November 7?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
77 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 18?
68 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Vote" 20 or more times during New Mexico rally on October 31?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
East coast port strike in January?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Sep 26, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?$0.85Sep 26, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?$1.00Jul 25, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$1.00Jul 25, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$1.69Jul 25, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$1.00May 14, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before July?$1.00May 14, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Martin be the next DNC chair?$2.22May 14, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Martin be the next DNC chair?$1.00Dec 11, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEast coast port strike in January?$1.00Dec 11, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?$1.89Dec 11, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?$1.00Oct 31, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Vote" 20 or more times during New Mexico rally on October 31?$1.00Oct 31, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 31, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,500 on September 6?$3.51Oct 31, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on September 6?$2.00Sep 1, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on September 6?$2.00Sep 1, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$1.00Sep 1, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$1.00Sep 1, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by November 7?$2.00Sep 1, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 1, 10:25 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 26, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".