0x56186b726e755b024862b1ab804e46dcdcb06ae9
0x56186b726e755b024862b1ab804e46dcdcb06ae9
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$191.09
Total PnL
$-48.71
Realised
$-24.35
Win rate
76%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11?
26 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$25.59
$3.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?
23 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$22.70
$2.50
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on May 11?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$22.20
$2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 11?
14 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$14.30
$1.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$12.80
$2.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 10?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$12.40
$2.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11?
12 shares @ 87.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$11.60
$1.42
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on May 11?
11 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$11.40
$1.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 10?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$10.90
$0.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 11?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$10.90
$0.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$5.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$3.96Jul 5, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Jul 5, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4.30Jul 5, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$5.00Jul 4, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$4.34Jul 4, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.00Jul 4, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$3.91Jul 4, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$5.00Jul 4, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4.65Jul 4, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$5.00Jul 4, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$4.72Jul 4, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$0.28Jul 4, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.53Jul 4, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.84Jul 4, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.85Jul 4, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 11?$0.00Jul 4, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 11?$0.00Jul 4, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 11?$0.00Jul 4, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 10?$0.00Jul 4, 08:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $4.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 01:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.