Fresh-Breakthrough
0x561997c3073695f0b0e87179dd2b0d1b27de69f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.69
Total PnL
$-42.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
68 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
23 shares @ 81.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-18.82
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 9?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 2.0–2.5 million views on day 1?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$18.82Dec 1, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$5.18Nov 30, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$5.00Nov 26, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Nov 23, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$22.85Nov 23, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$0.78Nov 18, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$20.43Nov 18, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$10.00Nov 14, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$5.00Nov 11, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$0.00Nov 5, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$2.00Nov 5, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.00Nov 5, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$5.00Oct 9, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 9?$2.00Oct 9, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$2.00Oct 9, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$3.00Oct 8, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$5.00Oct 8, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marques Brownlee's next video get between 2.0–2.5 million views on day 1?$5.00Oct 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?$3.00Oct 8, 23:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $5.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 23:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".