Outgoing-Replacement
0x56263938abe0916421ddff71de580df31ec582b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
70818 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.8K
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
60152 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.5K
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
38269 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-799.94
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
31366 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-799.95
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?
20719 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-799.97
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?
4251 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.5KApr 29, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?$200.00Apr 28, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$200.00Apr 28, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$3.0KApr 28, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$765.21Apr 24, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1000.00Apr 24, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?$300.00Apr 24, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?$200.00Apr 24, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$200.00Apr 24, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?$300.00Apr 24, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$300.00Apr 24, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?$300.00Apr 24, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$2.0KApr 24, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$839.97Apr 24, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$194.05Apr 24, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$100.00Apr 24, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?$200.00Apr 24, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?$100.00Apr 24, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$100.00Apr 24, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$2.0KApr 24, 12:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $657.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 12:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".