Gummy-Theater
0x562bc8068347268d9a69b8dd464d00eed0f9dc09
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$27.7K
Total PnL
$112.59
Realised
$71.63
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- NO
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
3107 shares @ 74.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$2.5K
$195.82
- NO
Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in July?
2229 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.2K
$59.91
- YES
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?
2131 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.1K
$41.07
- NO
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
2831 shares @ 72.1¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$2.0K
$-44.40
- YES
Will Procter & Gamble say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?
1283 shares @ 93.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.3K
$51.77
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
2561 shares @ 51.7¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-133.73
- NO
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
1127 shares @ 82.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$1.1K
$182.33
- YES
Will Boeing say "Program" during earnings call?
945 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$944.15
$15.88
- YES
Will Boeing say "Commercial" during earnings call?
809 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$808.59
$15.36
- NO
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
1117 shares @ 80.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$721.21
$-177.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Boeing say "Delivery" during earnings call?$1.2KJul 28, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the earnings call not air?$251.99Jul 28, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill PayPal say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?$1.4KJul 28, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill PayPal say "Braintree" during earnings call?$422.04Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill PayPal say "Transaction" 5+ times during earnings call?$292.41Jul 28, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill PayPal say "Merchant" 5+ times during earnings call?$439.94Jul 28, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill PayPal say "Consumer" 10+ times during earnings call?$189.77Jul 28, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the earnings call not air?$159.19Jul 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing say "Space" during earnings call?$44.70Jul 28, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?$114.89Jul 28, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?$86.87Jul 28, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Merchant" 5+ times during earnings call?$114.89Jul 28, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Merchant" 5+ times during earnings call?$87.36Jul 28, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Merchant" 5+ times during earnings call?$59.48Jul 28, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Braintree" during earnings call?$49.95Jul 28, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal say "Stablecoin" or "Stable Coin" during earnings call?$63.98Jul 28, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Braintree" during earnings call?$16.88Jul 28, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal say "Stablecoin" or "Stable Coin" during earnings call?$206.73Jul 28, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing say "Space" during earnings call?$44.21Jul 28, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing say "Space" during earnings call?$50.72Jul 28, 11:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $68.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 02:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.