Humongous-Foundation
0x562bfc6ea304d09f0784d25f220ac1e5dcadf9fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$16.73
Total PnL
$-189.33
Realised
$1.74
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 25?
30 shares @ 35.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$10.50
$0.00
- KEEGAN SMITH
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Moez Echargui
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.14
$0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 25?
30 shares @ 18.1¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.97
$-3.46
- GABRIEL DIALLO
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Tomas Etcheverry
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.95
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 24?
11 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.07
$-1.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 24?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 24?
73 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.04
$-2.13
- YES
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 23?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Tomas Etcheverry$1.93Jun 24, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Moez Echargui$1.96Jun 24, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 25?$10.00Jun 24, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 25?$5.65Jun 24, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 25?$0.51Jun 24, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 24?$16.22Jun 24, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 24?$2.28Jun 24, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 24?$2.08Jun 24, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 24?$7.51Jun 24, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 24?$0.64Jun 24, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 24?$1.05Jun 23, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$0.87Jun 23, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 24?$0.26Jun 23, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 24?$2.28Jun 23, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 24?$0.67Jun 23, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 24?$10.30Jun 23, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 24?$6.55Jun 23, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 23?$19.37Jun 23, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 23?$0.44Jun 23, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$1.14Jun 22, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.