Gleeful-Loading
0x563f224640122cbe47189279918d040cf96e5c63
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-3.47
Win rate
5%
198 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2PM ET
191 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-37.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
111 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
106 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
102 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
102 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$15.52Aug 20, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$15.42Aug 20, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$13.34Aug 20, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.07Aug 20, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.06Aug 20, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.59Aug 20, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.18Aug 20, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$4.94Aug 20, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$4.18Aug 20, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.07Aug 20, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$2.12Aug 20, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$8.18Aug 20, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$5.17Aug 20, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.12Aug 20, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.05Aug 20, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.07Aug 20, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$4.20Aug 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$5.26Aug 16, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$9.44Aug 16, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$8.95Aug 16, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 198 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
198 closed markets, 5% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 23:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 198 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.