Unusual-Homogenate
0x56434c17e8102a8b2f9ce5d73793dededfb25390
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$581.80
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?
8403 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
8333 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?
5503 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-665.96
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
4500 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-171.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?
3125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1320 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-385.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
956 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-33.97
- YES
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?
552 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-27.57
- NO
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
357 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk say "Crypto/Bitcoin/Doge" during the August 6 AMA?
170 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-79.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Feb 7, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 6 days or more?$3.65Feb 3, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$81.00Feb 2, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$84.67Feb 2, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$15.51Feb 1, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$12.10Feb 1, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$2.75Feb 1, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$51.34Feb 1, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$135.00Feb 1, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$13.74Feb 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$6.00Feb 1, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$0.86Feb 1, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$2.57Feb 1, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$1.20Feb 1, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$13.32Feb 1, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$24.00Feb 1, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$46.62Feb 1, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$6.00Feb 1, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$0.06Feb 1, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$6.38Feb 1, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $65.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.