Basic-Purse
0x56435e8d87c3e189e069b4f465e6c1ed1715cad6
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$3.14
Total PnL
$-28.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 31, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 19, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.01Jan 19, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.02Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.03Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.06Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.10Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$3.02Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.06Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.01Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.07Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Dec 3, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?$1.01Dec 2, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 02:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".