Sharp-Astrakhan
0x56456dff3a59eec8acf29806ef899ee923585d21
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$7.7K
Total PnL
$157.08
Realised
$284.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
1215 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.2K
$41.68
- NO
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
1136 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$62.50
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1053 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$994.74
$-5.26
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1266 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$993.67
$-6.33
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1075 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$983.87
$-16.13
- NO
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
594 shares @ 88.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$575.74
$48.64
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
722 shares @ 69.3¢·now 65.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$475.29
$-24.71
- NO
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
322 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$322.29
$22.29
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
127 shares @ 79.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$116.46
$16.46
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
137 shares @ 72.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.16
$16.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$101.151h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$100.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on May 3?$101.451h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 3?$100.801h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1000.001h ago
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1000.001h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1000.001h ago
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$3.5K1h ago
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$7.2K1h ago
- YIELD$0.0122h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$3.091d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$2.102d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$4.352d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$2.082d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$1.1K2d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$3.0K2d ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$4.1K2d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$315.003d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $515.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".