Lopsided-Curriculum
0x5645e3138adf57aa3d10623ecdbd21e57b856733
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-91.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?
1467 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will 150-200k federal employees accept the buyout?
630 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will 200-250k federal employees accept the buyout?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 50.0% and 50.4% on February 21?
47 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 49.5% and 49.9% on February 21?
24 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?$20.00Feb 18, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 150-200k federal employees accept the buyout?$5.00Feb 18, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?$25.00Feb 18, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's 538 approval rating be between 50.0% and 50.4% on February 21?$2.00Feb 18, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's 538 approval rating be between 49.5% and 49.9% on February 21?$2.00Feb 18, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?$20.00Feb 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 200-250k federal employees accept the buyout?$1.00Feb 18, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 150-200k federal employees accept the buyout?$1.00Feb 18, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?$5.00Feb 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold missing from Fort Knox?$10.00Feb 17, 22:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $9.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 17:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.