Torn-Amendment
0x564a481a0a1c967e9e6ff253d38413e32ef0a5ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
"The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 90+
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 8?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
155 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?
84 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.62
- YES
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.00Nov 22, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?$1.00Nov 22, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$1.00Nov 8, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$1.00Nov 8, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY"The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 90+$1.00Nov 2, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Nov 2, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$1.00Oct 29, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Sep 3, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?$2.00Sep 3, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?$4.62Sep 3, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $39m?$1.00Aug 7, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 8?$1.00Aug 7, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?$1.00Aug 7, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?$1.00Aug 4, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?$1.00Jul 19, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I Know What You Did Last Summer" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $16m?$1.00Jul 18, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Jul 18, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?$1.00Jun 28, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$2.08Jun 28, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$1.00May 27, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 22, 20:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".