Sore-Pitching
0x564f22744b7941ade18d5e0e4f347c30e3057026
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$13.1K
Total PnL
$1.9K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
76%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
1553 shares @ 39.3¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$947.45
$337.66
- NO
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
1021 shares @ 68.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$842.49
$142.46
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
742 shares @ 53.8¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$486.15
$87.15
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
486 shares @ 55.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$420.13
$148.57
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
381 shares @ 91.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$361.03
$11.03
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3262 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$309.93
$-45.13
- NO
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
330 shares @ 87.2¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$307.76
$19.51
- NO
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
333 shares @ 90.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$304.56
$4.56
- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
329 shares @ 34.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$301.43
$187.03
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
1409 shares @ 16.5¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$274.81
$41.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$82.07Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?$21.64Jun 13, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next YouTube video?$33.41Jun 13, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?$12.35Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video?$20.00Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$108.28Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill gemini-3.5-flash be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$245.48Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill gemini-3.1-pro-preview be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$153.69Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.06Jun 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.34Jun 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.06Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.11Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.02Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.06Jun 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.05Jun 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.06Jun 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.10Jun 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$5.20Jun 13, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$5.20Jun 13, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $10.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.