Wide-Eyed-Worm
0x565420673a3b8f1e3ce8c3fd16171982e2b0a5d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.62
Total PnL
$-28.69
Realised
$-1.14
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 22.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?
327 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?
46 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.61
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?
21 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.57
- NO
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?$10.39Jul 22, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?$10.39Jul 22, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?$0.03Jul 17, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?$0.54Jul 17, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$0.17Jul 17, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$0.33Jul 17, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?$3.84Jul 17, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$1.06Jul 17, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 16?$0.17Jul 17, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 16?$1.00Jul 16, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 16?$1.00Jul 16, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 16?$1.00Jul 15, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$2.95Jul 14, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?$1.05Jul 10, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$1.33Jul 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.03Jul 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$0.05Jul 9, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$1.18Jul 4, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$1.02Jul 3, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$1.02Jul 3, 12:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.