Thunderous-Pressurisation-Hake
0x565b274c46c01c3c050383929dfe0fa17f7ff1b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$136.12
Win rate
72%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8AM ET
182 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1PM ET
157 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.17
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 11AM ET
146 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-17.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3PM ET
146 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-77.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4PM ET
136 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-41.84
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7PM ET
127 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET
124 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8AM ET
123 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-61.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1PM ET
120 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-31.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11PM ET
118 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-31.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 10AM ET$4.19Jul 22, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 10AM ET$3.77Jul 22, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 10AM ET$3.72Jul 22, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10AM ET$4.67Jul 22, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 10AM ET$1.71Jul 22, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 10AM ET$1.40Jul 22, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6AM ET$1.87Jul 22, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5AM ET$4.07Jul 22, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3AM ET$6.05Jul 22, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2AM ET$5.59Jul 22, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1AM ET$1.12Jul 22, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 11PM ET$24.25Jul 22, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 11PM ET$7.48Jul 22, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5PM ET$7.16Jul 21, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4PM ET$2.14Jul 21, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4PM ET$1.09Jul 21, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4PM ET$9.04Jul 21, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4PM ET$1.07Jul 21, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1PM ET$5.55Jul 21, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1PM ET$1.11Jul 21, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.