Well-Documented-Confidence
0x5665a26cc85396ebbfe49037f647ab4338d9b378
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-31.31
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
641 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-307.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
451 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-188.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
425 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-199.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
301 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-125.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
235 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
213 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-99.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
154 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.2KJun 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.0KJun 5, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$130.68May 20, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$11.49May 18, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$11.86May 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$5.18May 18, 01:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.21May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$8.15May 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$31.68May 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$14.40May 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$4.80May 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$76.80May 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$21.38May 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$76.32May 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$74.21May 16, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$199.75May 16, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.62May 16, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$98.22May 16, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$219.97May 16, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$1.23May 16, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $68.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 13:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.