Downright-Fahrenheit
0x566d52860f63b1db90090020d6235d012f6a119d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$54.55
Total PnL
$-313.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
55 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$54.55
$18.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
240 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?
220 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-82.87
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
130 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
122 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-93.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?
76 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
55 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
35 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3.12May 12, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?$82.87Feb 10, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$82.87Feb 10, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$65.92Feb 10, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$64.94Feb 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$12.00Jan 10, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?$19.50Jan 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$20.00Jan 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?$4.05Jan 10, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?$6.00Jan 10, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$14.74Jan 10, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$27.34Jan 10, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$93.00Jan 10, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?$92.31Jan 10, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$4.00Jan 9, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$36.00Jan 9, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?$20.00Jan 9, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?$5.00Jan 9, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$25.00Jan 9, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$4.23Jan 9, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $26.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.