Untried-Handful
0x567abaf6469e06da4fae0a9b25a091b598f1b24c
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$51.18
Total PnL
$-220.30
Realised
$72.96
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?
135 shares @ 29.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$41.17
$2.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?
29 shares @ 12.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$9.95
$6.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 12?
62 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.03
$-2.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 12?
37 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.02
$-2.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 6?
647 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 3?
483 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 10?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?
278 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 8?
276 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 6?
191 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-31.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?$32.72Jul 12, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 12?$1.14Jul 12, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 12?$1.05Jul 12, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?$8.72Jul 12, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 12?$1.22Jul 12, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 12?$1.25Jul 12, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 12?$5.67Jul 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?$10.61Jul 12, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?$30.03Jul 12, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?$1.89Jul 12, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 12?$5.16Jul 12, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?$29.67Jul 11, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?$16.09Jul 11, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?$9.27Jul 11, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?$3.78Jul 11, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?$95.53Jul 11, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?$71.47Jul 11, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?$176.81Jul 11, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?$0.90Jul 11, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?$0.68Jul 11, 10:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.