Competent-Foxglove-Jack
0x567fb2286763c6dc5a125d63af0b1df90ef494b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.17
Total PnL
$-182.10
Realised
$64.70
Win rate
68%
143 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 5?
41 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.08
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?
65 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.03
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?
62 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.03
$-0.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or below on July 5?
48 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.02
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 21?
136 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 18?
134 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?
108 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 22?
108 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 18?
98 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11?
77 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 6?$0.06Jul 5, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 6?$0.42Jul 5, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$3.15Jul 5, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on July 6?$0.03Jul 5, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 6?$1.86Jul 5, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 7?$1.00Jul 5, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 6?$0.26Jul 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 6?$2.25Jul 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 6?$0.40Jul 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 6?$1.86Jul 5, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on July 6?$0.36Jul 5, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?$0.54Jul 5, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$2.00Jul 5, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 6?$2.16Jul 5, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 6?$2.52Jul 5, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 6?$0.18Jul 5, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 6?$2.52Jul 5, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$12.15Jul 5, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$14.40Jul 5, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?$0.04Jul 5, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
68% win rate over 143 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
143 closed markets, 68% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 143 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.