Kaleidoscopic-Papa
0x568f0c24ca1a8127b529f3a85bcb7b53db3cfe75
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
192
Open notional
$54.49
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-62.93
Win rate
33%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 192- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$47.22
$-2.78
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
538 shares @ 18.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.27
$-92.73
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8PM ET
7359 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-159.40
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
6667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 8PM ET
3457 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-84.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET
2500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-14.91
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 8PM ET
2364 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-66.36
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?
1773 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11PM ET$25.00Mar 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11PM ET$10.00Mar 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11PM ET$100.00Mar 16, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$10.00Mar 16, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$20.00Mar 16, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$100.00Mar 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5PM ET$20.00Mar 15, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 15, 2PM ET$189.82Mar 15, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 15, 3PM ET$10.00Mar 15, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 15, 3PM ET$20.00Mar 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 15, 3PM ET$5.67Mar 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 15, 3PM ET$100.00Mar 15, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 15, 2PM ET$15.00Mar 15, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$19.99Mar 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$30.00Mar 15, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 15, 2PM ET$60.00Mar 15, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 15, 1PM ET$100.00Mar 15, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 15, 1PM ET$50.00Mar 15, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$50.00Mar 15, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12PM ET$10.00Mar 15, 16:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $38.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".