Open-Incompetence
0x5697cf7180741806afd5a7b98c88bd1f9495613b
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$45.19
Total PnL
$-75.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
8 shares @ 94.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.45
$-0.12
- NO
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?
7 shares @ 92.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.59
$0.44
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.23
$-0.03
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
16 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
23 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.13
$-0.01
- NO
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
3 shares @ 98.7¢·now 96.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.31
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
4 shares @ 89.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.95
$-0.25
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.73
$0.07
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.70
$-0.47
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.51
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Meta acquire TikTok?$20.8735d ago
- REDEEMWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.0035d ago
- REDEEMWill Eva Victor be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.0035d ago
- REDEEMWill Eva Victor be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.3635d ago
- REDEEMWill Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.0035d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?$10.1435d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.01119d ago
- TRADEBUYWill The Life of Chuck win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00124d ago
- TRADEBUYWill The Life of Chuck win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.82124d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.50124d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.50124d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.87124d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.50124d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.13124d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.95124d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.09124d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.48124d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.38124d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.96124d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Eva Victor be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.06124d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 124d ago
- Last active
- 35d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.