Messy-Affiliate
0x569c186e125d90f8e6ba8e59cce79d09d3072e81
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-119.06
Realised
$4.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2507 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 10PM ET
1035 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
789 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.00Apr 8, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.47Mar 24, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$3.54Mar 19, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$2.20Mar 19, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.33Mar 19, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.00Mar 19, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Mar 19, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.00Mar 19, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 19, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 19, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 19, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$17.11Mar 18, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".