Muffled-Carotene
0x56a978ca3b0cf16a23c7f0b0f755b0d33c1a98fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
73
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
501 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-250.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
501 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-250.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
501 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
501 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-250.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.11Dec 15, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.01Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at <$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.01Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on November 17?$1.10Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Airbnb (ABNB) close at <$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.10Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at >$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.11Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.14Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or below on November 16?$1.14Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close at >$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.15Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 16?$1.21Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.21Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$460 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.22Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $196-$198 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.22Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close at >$680 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.22Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab (RKLB) close at >$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.27Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?$1.31Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Timberwolves$5.00Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$6.00Dec 15, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 6, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.12Nov 28, 02:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $40.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 03:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.